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Top stories

Supriya Sule Criticizes Air India Over Three-Hour Delay on Delhi-Pune Flight AI 2971 Amid Six Flight Cancellations

Supriya Sule Criticizes Air India Over Three-Hour Delay on Delhi-Pune Flight AI 2971 Amid Six Flight Cancellations

Authors

8

2 months ago

Prediction markets for SP

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

15%chance

165140813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2527

596

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.71%chance

85130764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2919

859

How much time will Tetra spend in each city in 2025?

Aug 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

531466

OptionProbability

London

Other

Osaka / Kyoto

Portland

Seattle

San Francisco

Boston

New York

Tokyo

Middlesbrough

Washington

Taipei

26

24

11

8

8

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?

Dec 14, 1:06 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

15.31%chance

2629485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23517

4252

Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.39%chance

2026353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2789

359

Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?

Apr 26, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.59%chance

913193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15073

7129

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.98%chance

2212035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12261

8153

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.36%chance

22432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10483

9539

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Feb 11, 7:17 PMFeb 18, 11:59 PM

51.25%chance

331312

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

906

Outcome of the Dutch 2025 parliamentary elections (resolves according to seat share)

Jun 10, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4178

OptionProbability

PVV

GL-PVDA

CDA

VVD

JA21

D66

SP

ChristenUnie

SGP

DENK

FvD

50PLUS

PvdD

Volt

BBB

NSC

BIJ1

Other

17

16

13

11

7

5

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

CBOE Putwrite index outperforms SPX (SP-500) over next year?

Jun 27, 11:03 PMAug 1, 11:03 PM

50%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

GovCon: NIH CIO-SP4 will...

Jul 26, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

00

OptionProbability

Be canceled.

Remain under protest forever...

Protests resolved and active for task orders!

33

33

33

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