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Prediction markets for SpaceNews

Will SpaceX launch a non-SpaceX payload on Starship before 2030?

Jun 10, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.11%chance

173378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1889

529

Will SLS launch in 2027?

Feb 28, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

171885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Jan 23, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

3592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

626

72

Which of these rockets will reach orbit first?

Feb 13, 8:11 AMJan 1, 8:11 AM

10543

OptionProbability

Terran R

Nova

Neutron

None before 2030

Rocket 4

36

32

23

5

3

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

Jun 2, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.44%chance

11511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

82

Will a full ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer in orbit be achieved by end of 2026?

Sep 14, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.01%chance

2300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

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