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Prediction markets for Spanish Government

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.16%chance

3611478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4892

512

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

6.33%chance

155616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3845

260

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?

Jan 22, 12:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.15%chance

191605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

584

17

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93%chance

9809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

420

69

Will Santiago Abascal become next Spain prime minister before 2027?

Oct 10, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

1.87%chance

3510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

77

How many nuclear reactors will Spain have in 2028?

May 3, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12416

OptionProbability

6

7

Below 6

Above 7

36

27

8

4

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.2%chance

6247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

111

How many people will be regularised in Spain in 2026?

May 12, 6:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9208

OptionProbability

750,000 - 999,999

500,000 - 749,999

250,000 - 499,999

1,000,000 - 1,249,999

0 - 249,999

1,250,000 - 1,500,000

Above 1,500,000

30

25

16

9

7

7

7

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

34.52%chance

9163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Will Spain close indefinitely the land borders with Morocco before 2030?

Aug 25, 10:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.55%chance

543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

92

How should I plan what college to attend? (Current high schooler, 100M+ bounty)

Jan 4, 6:53 AM

00

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