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Spar News
Prediction markets for Spar
Prediction markets for Spar
Will Oda add Jack Sparrow to One Piece?
Aug 19, 2:47 PM
Jan 2, 12:59 AM
40.14%
chance
38
4843
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1221
819
AI to solve "Sparse Adversarial Perturbations" from HCAST-Public by 2027?
Mar 25, 2:56 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
67.71%
chance
21
624
Option
Votes
NO
YES
656
84
Will "Weight-Sparse Circuits May Be Interpretable Y..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 10, 9:51 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
9.22%
chance
1
500
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1500
936
Will Meghan Markle's book outsell Prince Harry's "Spare"?
Apr 23, 8:00 AM
Jun 30, 11:59 PM
9.5%
chance
6
259
Option
Votes
YES
NO
386
62
Will La Croix sparkling water still be owned by National Beverage Corp at the end of 2028?
Apr 30, 8:32 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54%
chance
3
118
Option
Votes
NO
YES
108
92
Will 128 GB DGX Spark be more expensive a year from 11/3/2026 than it is on 11/3/2026?
Nov 3, 4:29 PM
Nov 3, 4:29 PM
58%
chance
5
76
Option
Votes
NO
YES
118
85
Will the Spartanburg, SC Data Center be operational by EOY 2027?
Oct 23, 2:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
67.29%
chance
5
57
Option
Votes
NO
YES
143
70
Will a paper titled "maximum sparsity reinforcement learning" come out by EOY2027?
Jan 2, 9:15 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will gwern get a DGX spark/AI Max 395+/AMD Ryzen Halo by EOY2027?
Nov 3, 4:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC attend SPARC by 2030?
Sep 21, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Will Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
Oct 31, 8:37 AM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
40%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
What is the best sparkling water brand?
Aug 13, 10:19 PM
18
0
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