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Prediction markets for Spawning

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Jun 7, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

89823759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1528

655

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2027

Jun 8, 4:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.29%chance

36278926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2554

392

Minecraft RSG no-reset average time by AI below 25 min before EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.75%chance

71571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1537

793

Will a multi-agent system have its time horizon evaluated by METR before EOY 2026?

Aug 1, 12:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.28%chance

21260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2260

816

Minecraft Sift dimension update prop bets

Oct 15, 10:30 AMDec 31, 10:29 AM

61000

OptionProbability

Can be accessed by ancient city portal

Released for Java and Bedrock on the same day

Portal requires music to open

Fluid called 'ichor' is introduced

Released before June 30 2027

Contains a new boss

Illusioner spawns naturally in the release

Opening the portal requires the Warden in some way

90

86

60

57

50

45

29

19

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Aug 1, 4:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.27%chance

387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

How cheap will fully farm-raised eel get? / 完全養殖ウナギ、いくらまで安くなる？

May 30, 6:33 AMDec 31, 3:00 PM

50%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

5x ABS(Day Change %(SPCX)) The 1st Market Day After 1st Ship Catch Attempt.

Sep 29, 11:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.77%chance

557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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