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Prediction markets for Speak

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Aug 27, 10:44 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

1415931

OptionProbability

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

Shayne Coplan, Polymarket

Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC

Terry Duffy, CME

91

80

46

27

12

10

US public opinion, 2026: Should racists be allowed to speak?

Jun 16, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

253779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

973

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

Nov 12, 10:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.68%chance

221041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1896

872

will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028

May 24, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.1%chance

7633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

978

Will "A case for courage, when speaking of AI danger" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 27, 3:41 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

57.5%chance

8467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1345

162

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

952

Will Shelly Miscavige publicly speak out against Scientology by the end of the decade?

Apr 1, 2:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.27%chance

10207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3530

3343

During Trump's second term, will Matt Gaetz speak out in favor of lowering the age of consent?

Nov 13, 10:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

9199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

If a lion could speak, could we understand him?

Jan 30, 11:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.29%chance

11120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

266

176

Will Apple introduce an AI assistant product that can speak and display basic human-like emotions before EOY 2027

Jan 3, 9:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.06%chance

6105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

77

Will the next secretary general of the United Nations speak German?

Nov 10, 4:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.47%chance

521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will the cofounders of Quora be on speaking terms again by 2030?

Sep 11, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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