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Prediction markets for Special Operations

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

796

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.16%chance

202757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

801

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will it be illegal to drive a car in the US by end of 2040?

Mar 16, 11:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.17%chance

201672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1683

915

Will Israeli Special Forces attack the Fordow Nuclear Site in 2025?

Jun 17, 10:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

231599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

392

181

Will the US have to build Trump a personal prison like Pablo Escobar if he is convicted?

Sep 3, 8:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.03%chance

20938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

946

Russian gaming console launched before 2029?

Apr 3, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.99%chance

13879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

879

Will the CA FAIR plan get a bailout by 2026?

Jan 9, 8:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60%chance

7795

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

If a Republican wins the 2024 presidential election, will they order military operations in Mexico?

Nov 23, 1:01 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

62.83%chance

15578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

240

101

Secret Immaculate Constellation Pentagon program revelation causes detention time before 2026?

Apr 30, 3:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Reliable Commercial Roof Repairs & Metal Roofers

Aug 2, 9:17 AMDec 31, 9:16 AM

44.8%chance

111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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