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Prediction markets for SPOT

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 10:45 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

42.35%chance

42033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?

Feb 19, 10:43 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

25.26%chance

4903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

What explain(s) the CMB cold spot

Feb 1, 11:49 PMFeb 8, 11:39 PM

5173

OptionProbability

Supervoid (a huge void between us and the primordial CMB)

Statistical fluctuation within standard inflation

Foreground contamination from nearby galaxies

Primordial gravitational wave signatures

Cosmic strings or cosmic texture defects

Quantum entanglement imprint from another universe

Fortuitous match with Spherical Mexican Hat Wavelets

33

33

25

25

23

21

16

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.39%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.27%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:28 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

55.82%chance

217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 400 USD/t on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:17 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.35%chance

214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:28 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

55.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

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