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Prediction markets for SPOT

Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?

Sep 22, 12:52 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

7.4%chance

194446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3538

283

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?

Aug 4, 7:12 PMAug 11, 11:59 PM

67.32%chance

383081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

697

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

43.39%chance

4247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 1500 USD/t on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:21 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

87%chance

4159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

259

39

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

22.25%chance

3132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

53

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 38 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:57 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

26.81%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 400 USD/t on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:16 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

66.87%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:21 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

57.63%chance

434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.99%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.35%chance

214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

55.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:27 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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