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Prediction markets for Spring

Will I successfully graduate college in Spring?

Nov 26, 4:53 PMJul 8, 11:59 PM

78.06%chance

12886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1886

530

Will I reach the ruby palace in OTIS before the 2026 spring semester ends?

Aug 18, 11:18 PMApr 30, 10:59 PM

55.66%chance

7441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will I be (co-)president of Stanford AI Alignment during spring quarter?

Jan 12, 7:14 PMJun 15, 11:59 PM

61.26%chance

5275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

795

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 2:00 PM

49.68%chance

16262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

941

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

56.66%chance

6255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

87

Spring stock

Apr 10, 5:33 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

16163

OptionProbability

NO

YES

293

250

Will Zhong Shanshan (founder of Nongfu Spring) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 15, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.25%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

51

Will a Nor'easter drop at least 1 foot of snow between Richmond and Virginia Beach before the Spring Equinox in 2026?

Dec 15, 11:37 PMMar 20, 5:45 AM

34.13%chance

6111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

how many times does johaan not flush in the spring semester 2026 ( spring semester ( by may 2026)

Jan 5, 12:55 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

3 or more

1

2

77

50

50

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

72.78%chance

491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

66

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:14 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

70.73%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

50

Will Orange Juice cost less than Natural Gas on the 2027 Spring Equinox?

Dec 8, 6:30 AMMar 21, 3:59 AM

37.17%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

79

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