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Prediction markets for SPY

Was a CCP spy present at The Curve or afterparty

Nov 27, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.41%chance

2725114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5322

188

Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?

Feb 5, 4:02 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

79.18%chance

10411450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2547

1566

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.88%chance

7310484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

272

Will it be exposed that Esmail Qaani is an Israeli spy, by EOY 2025

Oct 10, 12:37 PMJan 17, 9:59 PM

17.96%chance

1510265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2137

468

SPY dips below $450? (2025)

Apr 24, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.33%chance

169252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4701

213

Will spy be worth more than $436 on May 12 2026?

May 12, 11:29 PMMay 13, 5:59 AM

90%chance

184992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1793

859

SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?

Sep 24, 4:01 PMSep 18, 11:59 PM

6%chance

34173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3958

253

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1097

737

Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?

Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.99%chance

23555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

931

Which British officials will lose their jobs over the collapse of the alleged China spy case?

Oct 15, 5:56 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

4368

OptionProbability

Jonathan Powell

Matthew Collins

Olly Robbins

Stephen Parkinson

Keir Starmer

Yvette Cooper

10

10

10

10

5

5

SPY reaches 774 (20% gain from 645) before 516 (20% loss from 645)

Aug 14, 4:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.65%chance

4294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Will LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?

Dec 3, 2:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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