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Prediction markets for SPY

S&P 500 — tokenized SPY price (SPYx, USD)

Aug 26, 10:12 PM

36172525

Was a CCP spy present at The Curve or afterparty

Nov 27, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.41%chance

2725114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5322

188

Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?

Feb 5, 4:02 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

79.18%chance

10411450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2547

1566

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.11%chance

7310550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

277

SPY reaches 774 (20% gain from 645) before 516 (20% loss from 645)

Aug 14, 4:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

1110406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9930

101

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.2%chance

18872

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1147

675

Is Gunko A Spy For The Revolutionary Army?

Mar 3, 1:04 PMJan 1, 12:52 PM

11.33%chance

11750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

36

Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?

Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.99%chance

23555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

931

QQQ passes SPY by EOY 2026?

Oct 23, 11:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66%chance

9534

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Which Australian politician was groomed by foreign spies according to the head of ASIO?

Feb 29, 3:26 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

10396

OptionProbability

Stuart Robert

Sam Dastyari

Christopher Pyne

68

25

10

Will LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?

Dec 3, 2:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

3172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Will EFA out perform SPY in 2026?

Dec 28, 2:59 AMJan 2, 2:56 AM

54.75%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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