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Top stories

Rep. Larson Calls ICE Agents ‘Gestapo’ at Connecticut Protest

US Domestic Policy

Rep. Larson Calls ICE Agents ‘Gestapo’ at Connecticut Protest

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for SS

Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?

Jun 19, 7:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.24%chance

677491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2152

465

2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM

17.78%chance

276710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2154

466

In what year will an explicitly queer Disney prince(ss) film be released for the first time?

Aug 16, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

242655

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2028-2029

2026-2027

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2046-2047

2047-2048

2048-2049

2049-2050

2050-2051

2051-2052

2024-2025

2025-2026

22

17

6

5

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

0

0

Will SSDs become cheaper per TB than HDDs by 2030?

Dec 28, 10:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

522356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

964

Will I still feel that it is important to protect my social security number (SSN) in 2050?

Apr 5, 4:33 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44%chance

351936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

891

Will SSI have a "moment"?

Sep 5, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.69%chance

211382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

56

SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6.74%chance

5215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

985

Will there be any living veterans of the 12th SS Panzer Division Hitlerjugend left by 2038?

Jul 8, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.9%chance

3205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

33

Will the SS United States be sunk by EOY 2027?

Sep 12, 12:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.25%chance

4107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will there be any living veterans from the 14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS (1st Galician) left by the beginning of 2030?

Jan 7, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.1%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

109

SSC Napoli VS SS Lazio | Soccer Serie A Match Winner (8 Nov, 2026)

Nov 6, 5:32 PMNov 8, 3:59 PM

326

OptionProbability

SS Lazio

SSC Napoli

Draw

41

33

26

Will Martin Picard run a study involving SS-31?

Nov 28, 10:52 PM

00

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