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Prediction markets for Stacks Developer

Will Rust be the most loved language in the 2025 stack overflow developer survey?

Dec 16, 2:25 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

97.38%chance

6318479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6175

524

8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications

Dec 27, 8:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

94.68%chance

173443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4220

237

When will more than 10% of developers use Zed?

Jan 26, 3:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

323279

OptionProbability

Not before 2029

2026

2027

2028

2024

2025

62

21

11

3

2

1

Will more professional devs use Rust than C++ in the 2030 StackOverflow developer survey?

Feb 3, 5:22 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

55.47%chance

392013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1281

666

Will HTMX gain significant traction before the end of 2025?

Oct 8, 11:22 AMJan 3, 2:29 AM

36.08%chance

231742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1284

784

Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?

Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

42.1%chance

181627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

853

Will vue.js bypass JQuery in popularity by 2030?

Jan 4, 8:13 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.46%chance

141302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

875

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.2%chance

91279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1872

534

Will Visual Studio Code be the most popular IDE in every Stack Overflow Developer Survey until 2030?

Apr 10, 3:20 PMDec 31, 1:05 PM

36.26%chance

16676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

991

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.35%chance

16473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

971

Will OpenAI publicly state that they know how to safely align a superintelligence before 2030?

Nov 3, 11:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.38%chance

12254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

889

AI + tariffs split pharma into "local stacks" by 2040?

Nov 2, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.77%chance

261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

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