Standalone News

YES

Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

Contains AI-generated articles

Accessible without login

Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

Has 10,000+ articles

Contains a "Wikipedia" article

No entry for Mechahitler

Has an entry for Manifold Markets

Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

it is cringe

Content is under a free license

It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

Anyone can edit

Administered by a partially-human editorial board

Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

Articles written in 10+ languages

Released in 2026

Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

Manifold likes it, according to a poll

Not released before 2030

Contains advertisements

Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

has an official app on the Apple App Store

Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

NO

Susan Collins (Senate - ME): Voted to convict Trump in 2021.

David Valadao (House - CA): The only House Republican who voted to impeach Trump who is running for re-election in 2026.

Field (Any other Targeted Incumbent not listed): If a major new target emerges add them as a standalone option.

No Targeted Incumbent will survive (Trump Sweep)

John Cornyn (Senate - TX): With McConnell retiring, Cornyn is the new face of the "Establishment". Trump allies (like Texas AG Ken Paxton) have actively floated primary challenges against him.

Bill Cassidy (Senate - LA): Voted to convict Trump in 2021 and was immediately censured by his state party. He is running for re-election and will face a massive Trump-backed primary challenge.

YES

YES

YES

Has eye tracking

Has Mac Virtual Display functionality

Has external battery

Comes with only one band, that has a part that goes over the top of your head.

Has built in speakers for audio

Will have a glass front

Sells more than 1 million units in its first year

Priced under $2,000

Has on-device LLM (e.g. through Siri or standalone) integrated

Has "Air" in its name

Primarily made of aluminum

Has an external display (like eyesight)

Is released under another CEO than Tim Cook

Priced under $1000

Will require an iPhone to operate (relies on that for power, compute or storage).

Priced lower than $199

Priced lower than $299

NO

YES

Meta will launch a standalone prediction market app by end of 2026

Meta's prediction market platform will flop.

YES