Standard International News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19745815

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

YES

1927

1123

When will there be significant shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?

Mar 29, 11:42 AMJun 30, 11:05 AM

145620

OptionProbability

By 2026-06-30

By 2026-04-15

By 2026-04-30

By 2026-05-15

By 2026-05-31

By 2026-06-15

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Sep 23, 12:55 PMJan 20, 1:52 PM

25.35%chance

73975

OptionVotes

YES

5768

100

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.02%chance

111566

OptionVotes

YES

1753

147

Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?

Apr 22, 7:20 PMDec 31, 8:08 PM

21.57%chance

121502

OptionVotes

YES

1907

524

Will we get rational reinforcement learning before 2027?

May 11, 6:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

35.55%chance

121107

OptionVotes

YES

1349

746

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.05%chance

9490

OptionVotes

YES

1380

807

Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?

Jan 7, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.64%chance

13250

OptionVotes

YES

1161

943

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.84%chance

5245

OptionVotes

YES

1148

871

Free Elections in Cuba before the end of 2027

Feb 7, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.31%chance

12235

OptionVotes

YES

1049

963

Which of the following statements about the Setagaya Killer are true?

Jun 24, 7:10 AMDec 30, 4:25 PM

2185

OptionProbability

The killer knew the family prior to the murder

The killer had a direct military connection

The killer was a minor at the time of the murder

As of June 24th, 2025, the killer is currently dead

The killer had a direct connection to local, national, or international politics

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Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

When will there be significant shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?

Will we get rational reinforcement learning before 2027?

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Free Elections in Cuba before the end of 2027

Which of the following statements about the Setagaya Killer are true?

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