Standard International News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19543852

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

YES

1927

1123

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Sep 23, 12:55 PMJan 20, 1:52 PM

25.35%chance

73975

OptionVotes

YES

5768

100

Will we get rational reinforcement learning before 2027?

May 11, 6:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

35.55%chance

121107

OptionVotes

YES

1349

746

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Nov 27, 6:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

85.11%chance

9884

OptionVotes

YES

364

103

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.9%chance

9484

OptionVotes

YES

1386

804

2026 World Figure Skating Championships: Men's Gold Medal Winner

Mar 15, 2:47 AMMar 26, 11:59 AM

6334

OptionProbability

Ilia MALININ (USA)

Yuma KAGIYAMA (JPN)

Shun SATO (JPN)

Adam SIAO HIM FA (FRA)

Other

Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?

Jan 7, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.64%chance

13250

OptionVotes

YES

1161

943

Free Elections in Cuba before the end of 2027

Feb 7, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.31%chance

12235

OptionVotes

YES

1049

963

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.64%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

1098

911

UK electoral advertising to become regulated so that fact-based claims are accurate, by the end of 2030

Feb 9, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

149

Sega Stock

Apr 12, 1:11 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

OptionProbability

YES

Standard International News

Prediction markets for Standard International

Prediction markets for Standard International

Prediction markets for Standard International

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Will we get rational reinforcement learning before 2027?

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

2026 World Figure Skating Championships: Men's Gold Medal Winner

Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?

Free Elections in Cuba before the end of 2027

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

UK electoral advertising to become regulated so that fact-based claims are accurate, by the end of 2030

Sega Stock

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