Stanley News

By when will a Canadian team have won a Stanley Cup?

Jun 3, 4:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2512890

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2024

2025

2026

Boston Bruins (NHL)

Oct 27, 9:32 AMApr 20, 9:20 PM

1011833

OptionProbability

David Pastrnak finish as leading goal scorer for the Bruins in 2024-25

Cole Koepke plays 35 games with Bruins in 2024-25

Mark Kastelic plays 50+ games with Bruins in 2024-25

Bruins 10+ overtime losses in 2024-25

Bruins in Stanley Cup series by 2030

Bruins change logo by 2040

David Pastrnak 50+ goals AND 100 points in 2024-25

David Pastrnak 10+ power play goals in 2024-25

Charlie McAvoy 12+ goals in 2024-25

Charlie McAvoy 40+ assists in 2024-25

Brad Marchand 70+ points in 2024-25

Brad Marchand 60+ penalty minutes in 2024-25

Hampus Lindholm 70+ games plays with Bruins in 2024-25

Elias Lindholm finish as a point per game player in 2024-25

Bruins finish 2024-25 with 100 points

Bruins make it to 2024-25 Conference Finals (round 3 of NHL playoffs)

100

Buffalo Sabres (NHL)

Oct 27, 9:54 PMApr 20, 9:20 PM

1111123

OptionProbability

Tage Thompson scores 40+ goals in 2024-25

Tage Thompson play 75+ games with the Sabres in 2024-25

Owen Power 40+ points in 2024-25

Sabres get to round 2 of playoffs by end of 2028

Sabres reach the Stanley Cup Finals by end of 2032

Alex Tuch 70+ points in 2024-25

Rasmus Dahlin gets the Norris Trophy in 2024-2025

Sabres are 20% on the power play in 2024-25

Sabres 10+ overtime losses in 2024-25

Sabres finish with 90+ points in 2024-25

Sabres make the playoffs in 2024-25

Devon Levi starts in 25+ Games in 2024-25

100

Which Canadian NHL team will win the Stanley Cup next?

Jun 25, 4:28 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

345745

OptionProbability

Montreal Canadiens

Edmonton Oilers

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs

Ottawa Senators

Other

Vancouver Canucks

Calgary Flames

Will a human step foot on mars before the Toronto Maple Leafs win another Stanley Cup?

Jul 25, 4:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.43%chance

91003

OptionVotes

YES

1512

661

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2027 Stanley Cup?

Jul 19, 8:20 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

7%chance

10705

OptionVotes

YES

364

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Stanley Cup before we get AGI?

Jun 27, 8:56 PMDec 31, 9:55 PM

41.62%chance

6397

OptionVotes

YES

118

Will "Stanley Milgram wasn’t pessimistic enough abo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 5, 4:59 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.71%chance

2300

OptionVotes

YES

1300

958

Stanley Cup stock

May 2, 3:07 AMMay 2, 3:59 AM

11240

OptionProbability

YES

184

158

Will someone extend Ken Stanley's NEAT into Robert Ghrist's sheaves by EOY2026?

May 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.99%chance

236

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will Matthew Stanley Meselson reach age 100

Jun 27, 8:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.09%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will David H. Murdock survive Stanley Baxter?

Dec 24, 12:56 AM

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Prediction markets for Stanley

By when will a Canadian team have won a Stanley Cup?

Boston Bruins (NHL)

Buffalo Sabres (NHL)

Which Canadian NHL team will win the Stanley Cup next?

Will a human step foot on mars before the Toronto Maple Leafs win another Stanley Cup?

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2027 Stanley Cup?

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Stanley Cup before we get AGI?

Will "Stanley Milgram wasn’t pessimistic enough abo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Stanley Cup stock

Will someone extend Ken Stanley's NEAT into Robert Ghrist's sheaves by EOY2026?

Will Matthew Stanley Meselson reach age 100

Will David H. Murdock survive Stanley Baxter?

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