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Prediction markets for STAR Market

Will Zvi Mowshowitz 'like' each of these movies?

Aug 25, 3:08 AMDec 31, 6:53 PM

2913406

OptionProbability

The Man Who Killed Don Quioxte

Brazil

The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Mr. Nobody

The Assessment

Revlover

The Congress (2013)

Lurker

Code 3

Masthishka Maranam

The Banshees of Inisherin

The Fountain

The French Dispatch

The Square

The Artist

Swiss Army Man

Cosmopolis

Cloud Atlas

Southland Tales

Fitzcarraldo

Welcome to the N-H-K

The Grand Budapest Hotel

62

61

60

54

51

50

50

50

50

50

50

49

49

48

47

46

45

43

43

40

39

0

Is there a Dyson-like megastructure around Tabby’s Star?

Jun 29, 11:06 AMJun 30, 11:02 AM

8.11%chance

214679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3366

297

Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-aware entity?

May 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

62.84%chance

113842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

769

Will the official USA flag have >50 stars by 2030? 🇺🇸

Jan 16, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

203287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2589

386

Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?

Apr 24, 7:50 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

11.48%chance

232096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2495

167

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Apr 8, 7:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

64.63%chance

191035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

932

Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?

Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.06%chance

81016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1996

501

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Dec 21, 10:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.79%chance

31889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

915

Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?

Sep 17, 2:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75.55%chance

23816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1278

859

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

63.95%chance

13445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1332

751

Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

15386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

927

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