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Prediction markets for STAR Market

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

12%chance

2211616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3226

238

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?

Aug 3, 1:54 PMOct 4, 10:59 PM

80.51%chance

386830

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1271

923

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earns more than $170M in domestic gross earnings during their second weekend?

Aug 5, 12:27 PMAug 11, 5:00 PM

13.02%chance

224410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2585

387

Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-aware entity?

May 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

62.84%chance

113842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

769

Will the official USA flag have >50 stars by 2030? 🇺🇸

Jan 16, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

203287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2589

386

Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?

Apr 24, 7:50 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

21.23%chance

221542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1945

271

Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?

Sep 17, 2:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75.55%chance

23816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1278

859

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Apr 8, 7:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

76.93%chance

18803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1637

732

T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before November 11th, 2026?

Jul 29, 4:05 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

19.3%chance

6514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

840

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

62.16%chance

11392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

780

Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

15386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

927

Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?

Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.89%chance

4366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

732

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