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Prediction markets for STAR Market

Will Zvi Mowshowitz 'like' each of these movies?

Aug 25, 3:08 AMDec 31, 6:53 PM

2712989

OptionProbability

The Man Who Killed Don Quioxte

Brazil

The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Mr. Nobody

Welcome to the N-H-K

The Assessment

Revlover

The Congress (2013)

Lurker

Code 3

Masthishka Maranam

The Artist

The French Dispatch

The Fountain

The Square

Cosmopolis

Swiss Army Man

Cloud Atlas

Southland Tales

Fitzcarraldo

The Grand Budapest Hotel

62

61

60

54

53

51

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

49

48

47

46

43

43

40

0

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

10.71%chance

2412029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3374

219

Is there a Dyson-like megastructure around Tabby’s Star?

Jun 29, 11:06 AMJun 30, 11:02 AM

8.11%chance

214679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3366

297

Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-aware entity?

May 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

62.84%chance

113842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

769

Will the official USA flag have >50 stars by 2030? 🇺🇸

Jan 16, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

203287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2589

386

Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?

Apr 24, 7:50 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

20.01%chance

231596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1995

258

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Apr 8, 7:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

64.63%chance

191035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

932

Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?

Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.55%chance

7986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

509

Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?

Sep 17, 2:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75.55%chance

23816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1278

859

T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before November 11th, 2026?

Jul 29, 4:05 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

19.3%chance

7516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

840

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

62.16%chance

11392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

780

Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

15386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

927

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