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Prediction markets for Starling

By when will Starliner-1 launch?

Jun 8, 2:41 PMJul 31, 5:59 AM

1772462

OptionProbability

2027-12-31

2026-12-31

2025-12-31

2025-03-31

2025-06-30

2025-09-30

82

72

1

0

0

0

Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?

Mar 24, 7:01 AMJan 7, 12:59 PM

77.94%chance

7220926

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

853

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.39%chance

203819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1796

235

Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?

Aug 25, 9:02 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

333155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?

Jan 14, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.67%chance

222913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1826

777

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.35%chance

132254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2943

340

Will there be a NASA report on Starliner problems?

Aug 20, 11:42 PMJun 6, 5:59 AM

76.83%chance

161413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

549

Will Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?

Oct 17, 11:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.96%chance

101072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

484

Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045

Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.21%chance

18617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

937

Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?

Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.21%chance

21576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1264

922

Will Starlink join the S&P 500?

Jan 7, 11:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

65.5%chance

12347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

854

Will SpaceX pick up and return at least 10 starlink satellites to Earth by mid 2031?

May 12, 7:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

36.25%chance

8339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

869

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