Starmer News

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

1 year ago

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2.25%chance

4949542

OptionVotes

YES

6598

152

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

8336972

OptionProbability

2026

2024

2025

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

100

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2.75%chance

9331343

OptionVotes

YES

5950

168

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Jun 4, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.13%chance

3713131

OptionVotes

YES

6775

148

Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?

Sep 26, 7:40 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

99%chance

3712394

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?

Jun 13, 7:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.19%chance

446757

OptionVotes

YES

3893

257

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155857

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will Tim Walz or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?

Jan 12, 1:19 AMFeb 16, 1:19 AM

102072

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer (UK Prime Minister)

Tim Walz (Governor of Minnesota)

Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?

Jun 22, 4:25 AMFeb 1, 5:12 AM

61.35%chance

181110

OptionVotes

YES

1260

794

If Keir Starmer resigns or is pushed out, what happens next?

Feb 7, 10:09 AMSep 14, 9:08 AM

16606

OptionProbability

New leader (&PM) from within Labour as his successor, with no general election preceding

Labour voting intention goes to >25% on Politico Poll of Polls within 6 months

Labour voting intention drops to <10% on Politico Poll of Polls within 6 months (or remains under 10%)

General election within 6 months

Will Sir Keir Starmer say “bitter lesson” in relation to AI in a public speech before 2029?

Jan 13, 5:18 PMJan 21, 9:59 AM

12.34%chance

5166

OptionVotes

YES

266

Keir Starmer Stock

Aug 15, 3:04 PMAug 16, 4:59 AM

4110

OptionProbability

YES

141

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
China
Britain
World
UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Starmer

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If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will Tim Walz or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?

Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?

If Keir Starmer resigns or is pushed out, what happens next?

Will Sir Keir Starmer say “bitter lesson” in relation to AI in a public speech before 2029?

Keir Starmer Stock

Latest stories

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