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Prediction markets for STAT
OptionProbability
28
22
16
11
6
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
22
21
15
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
53.89%chance
9744005
OptionVotes
990
982
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.06%chance
1514136
OptionVotes
11045
8973
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.38%chance
2111436
OptionVotes
11140
8977
Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?
Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
47.84%chance
125581
OptionVotes
10661
9352
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
39.13%chance
74647
OptionVotes
12472
8018
Tadej Pogačar in Pro Cycling Stats top 5 before retirement?
Mar 30, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
94.47%chance
113536
OptionVotes
4132
242
Manifold stats graph looks promising again before 2027?
Dec 13, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.65%chance
19936
OptionVotes
1013
987
Which of these Team Fortress 2 weapons will have their stats adjusted before 2029?
Nov 17, 4:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5299
OptionProbability
50
50
50
48
41
40
40
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
Will the Cleaner's Carbine in Team Fortress 2 get a significant stat adjustment before 2030?
Nov 10, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.87%chance
469
OptionVotes
143
70
OptionVotes
118
85