OptionVotes
YES
NO
9756
103
1152
868
1053
950
OptionProbability
Option deleted. Don't vote!
Alan Dershowitz
Bill Clinton
Donald Trump
50
46
32
19
137
73
Kathy Hochul (Current Governor)
Antonio Delgado (Current Lt Governor)
Other
96
3
2
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
66
52
51
45
38
37
34
100