State Board of Elections News

Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.

Nov 1, 5:55 PMMar 17, 11:59 PM

3018246

OptionProbability

Daniel Biss

Laura Fine

Kat Abugazaleh

Bushra Amiwala

Other

Mike Simmons

Phil Andrew

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

9013035

OptionVotes

YES

1177

850

Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1.67%chance

2111408

OptionVotes

YES

5867

737

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.87%chance

238337

OptionVotes

YES

3036

823

What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?

Dec 2, 1:11 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

112314

OptionProbability

Ohio

Iowa

Other

Maine

Texas

Alaska

Michigan

Florida

North Carolina

Kentucky

Nebraska

Georgia

Kansas

Tennessee

Montana

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

Dec 13, 6:21 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

6609

OptionProbability

He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.

He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.

He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.

He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.

Other

He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.

He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.

Who will win the 2026 New York Democratic Primary for Governor?

Oct 28, 4:46 AMJul 1, 5:46 AM

5212

OptionProbability

Kathy Hochul (Current Governor)

Antonio Delgado (Current Lt Governor)

Other

Will either major US political party split by 2029?

Jan 30, 6:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7144

OptionVotes

YES

200

Who wins 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Dec 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2130

OptionProbability

Adriano Espaillat

Darializa Avila Chevalier

Other

Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

Apr 12, 2:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73.39%chance

9115

OptionVotes

YES

166

State Board of Elections News

Prediction markets for State Board of Elections

Prediction markets for State Board of Elections

Prediction markets for State Board of Elections

Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

Who will win the 2026 New York Democratic Primary for Governor?

Will either major US political party split by 2029?

Who wins 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

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