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State Board of Elections News

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Prediction markets for State Board of Elections

Trump impose large tariffs in first year?

Oct 18, 11:16 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

99.57%chance

16091897885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243417

3324

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.31%chance

2011330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3165

801

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.22%chance

237247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3587

803

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?

Jul 12, 2:59 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.73%chance

15850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

995

Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?

Oct 4, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

11779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

712

85

What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?

Dec 2, 1:11 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

6500

OptionProbability

Other

Texas

North Carolina

Kentucky

Iowa

Tennessee

Michigan

Maine

Alaska

Kansas

Montana

Georgia

24

20

9

9

8

8

6

5

3

3

3

2

Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

Apr 12, 2:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.46%chance

650

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

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