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Prediction markets for State Emergency Service

UNEXCITEMENT ATLAS: Which US States will NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025? [ ADD STATES ]

Jan 15, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

204895

OptionProbability

Massachusetts

Illinois

Alaska

Wyoming

Ohio

Connecticut

Rhode Island

Maine

Idaho

South Dakota

Vermont

Pennsylvania

Colorado

Indiana

Delaware

Montana

Kansas

Nevada

South Carolina

Arkansas

Utah

Washington

Mississippi

Oregon

Florida

Oklahoma

Texas

North Carolina

Hawaii

Louisiana

Arizona

Virginia

Iowa

Kentucky

Minnesota

Michigan

Wisconsin

New Jersey

North Dakota

New Mexico

76

74

71

70

69

66

66

52

50

50

49

42

40

36

35

34

34

20

10

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications

Dec 27, 8:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

93.64%chance

163091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3838

261

Will a NATO or EU nation declare a national emergency due to AI before 2026?

May 12, 9:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.67%chance

30932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

947

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM

5.61%chance

14811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

970

Will there be evidence of large scale data pollution operations by the end of 2025?

Aug 17, 9:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.53%chance

25694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1206

900

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.59%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

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