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Prediction markets for State Farm

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

16.18%chance

9340009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10258

1941

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.96%chance

265006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2561

772

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

174275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

1297

Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?

Nov 13, 4:55 AMNov 12, 4:47 AM

60.46%chance

102373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

809

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.39%chance

16948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

789

Will Neutron Launch before Christmas?

Jan 22, 4:51 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

3.15%chance

13890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

554

18

Will Trump tariff Canada 100%

Jan 24, 2:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

17622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Which year will California ban factory farming?

Apr 25, 11:02 AMApr 25, 10:59 PM

16%chance

3230

OptionProbability

YES

NO

330

282

Will factory farming ever be de facto banned and enforced across the contiguous United States?

Jun 16, 3:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?

Jan 10, 2:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will a new Farm Bill become law by the end of 2026?

Jul 20, 12:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

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