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Prediction markets for State Farm

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Feb 15, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.77%chance

38209065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240954

20236

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.2%chance

153907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3529

1289

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.51%chance

253598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1951

826

Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?

Jun 3, 8:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

68.66%chance

151019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1491

685

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

15628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

900

Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?

Nov 13, 4:55 AMNov 12, 4:47 AM

70.73%chance

3567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1555

643

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Which year will California ban factory farming?

Apr 25, 11:02 AMApr 25, 10:59 PM

16%chance

3230

OptionProbability

YES

NO

330

282

Will the Washington-Baltimore-Arlington CSA be on track to be the largest and most important in America by 2050?

Nov 15, 3:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.01%chance

5135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

60

Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?

Jan 10, 2:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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