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Prediction markets for State Farm

Which companies will run ads during Super Bowl LX?

Jan 3, 1:45 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

9010810

OptionProbability

Salesforce

Google

Toyota

Amazon

OpenAI

State Farms

Anthropic

Apple

Coinbase

Verizon/Visible

Allstate

Ripple

Gemini (Cryptocurrency exchange)

Coca Cola

Robinhood

Progressive

Hyundai

Kraken

Crypto.com

Nvidia

X / xAI

Solana

Perplexity

Kalshi

99

99

99

99

99

99

96

89

77

68

56

54

50

46

43

42

32

31

27

17

13

8

4

1

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.2%chance

153907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3529

1289

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.51%chance

253598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1951

826

Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?

Jun 3, 8:13 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

69.92%chance

171355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1536

665

Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?

Nov 13, 4:55 AMNov 12, 4:47 AM

40.25%chance

41142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

821

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.39%chance

16948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

789

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will Trump tariff Canada 100%

Jan 24, 2:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.48%chance

13473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

28

Which year will California ban factory farming?

Apr 25, 11:02 AMApr 25, 10:59 PM

16%chance

3230

OptionProbability

YES

NO

330

282

Will Neutron Launch before Christmas?

Jan 22, 4:51 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

80%chance

5189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?

Jan 10, 2:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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