state Guard News

🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]

Aug 13, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19917471

OptionProbability

pass 500 or more executive orders

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

Stays alive

have a journalist arrested

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

resume buying oil from Russia

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

call someone retarded through text or speech

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

Revoke ten or more citizenships

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Announce he’s running for a third term

Dep

Causes Tina Peters' early release

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

put his name on a ship in the navy

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

ten or more protestors killed during term

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

new blockade of a country

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

Causes derek chauvin's early release

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

stops all sanctions on Russia

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

Add a citizenship question to the census

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Pardon a convicted pedophile

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

File lawsuit against a congressperson

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

ends black history month

Withdraw from NATO

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

host putin at mar a lago

Call for the end of gay marriage

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

Pardon p diddy

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

expand the borders of the usa

add a new state

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

take control of a part of greenland

repeal Obamacare

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

all time high unemployment reached

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

make statements that are negative about labubu

orders arrests of any Biden family member

ban trans people from holding federal offices

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

repeal an amendment

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

Raise the retirement age for social security

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

take control of a part of ukraine

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

pardon george santos

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

Salute Putin

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

stop California from hosting the Olympics

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

pardon derek chauvin

Implement a federal abortion ban

add a new federal holiday in his honor

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

force a former president to testify before Congress

Implement a federal age of consent

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

Annex any part of Mexico

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

change the borders of a state

Call for the end of the House of Reps

Call for the end of the Senate

fauci in jail at least one week

Replace his Vice President

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

declares a white history month

Call for the end of interracial marriage

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

bans anime

Wearing a white dress after labor day

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

43.22%chance

9810500

OptionVotes

YES

1008

972

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.08%chance

443962

OptionVotes

YES

2050

595

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Jun 6, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.88%chance

263649

OptionVotes

YES

2466

406

Trump deport people in 2025?

Apr 18, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8650

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2025?

Apr 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.03%chance

7569

OptionVotes

YES

721

101

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

70.01%chance

15481

OptionVotes

YES

997

957

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.91%chance

16384

OptionVotes

YES

1104

925

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

Jul 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

12183

OptionVotes

YES

201

Military/National Guard deployed to a US university campus in response to protests before January 2027

Nov 26, 5:48 PMJan 2, 12:00 AM

37.73%chance

289

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?

Aug 27, 3:27 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

64.22%chance

135

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2026?

Aug 27, 3:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

state Guard News

Prediction markets for state Guard

Prediction markets for state Guard

Prediction markets for state Guard

🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Trump deport people in 2025?

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2025?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

Military/National Guard deployed to a US university campus in response to protests before January 2027

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2026?

Latest stories