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Prediction markets for state House

Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?

Jan 20, 4:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.28%chance

178721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

76

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

54.32%chance

694251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

866

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

333999

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

55

28

11

3

2

Will the United States have more than 1,000,000 households without power before the end of 2025 (starting April 30th)?

Apr 30, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.74%chance

143804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2356

424

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

Will at least 75% of households in the United States own a car in 2035?

Jan 16, 11:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.19%chance

15404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

950

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Mar 28, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.36%chance

11339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

172

Will Xi Jinping be a guest of honor at a White House State Dinner by the end of 2028?

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.64%chance

15107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

120

Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?

Oct 6, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

35.26%chance

997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

190

Will Donald J Trump visit the Massachusetts State House Capitol by EOY2028?

Feb 21, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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