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Prediction markets for State Information Commission
Prediction markets for State Information Commission
Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029
Jan 4, 7:47 PM
Jan 21, 12:00 AM
6.27%
chance
28
8492
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3871
259
US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?
Aug 23, 12:09 PM
Jun 30, 11:59 PM
5.04%
chance
16
8052
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4379
232
Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?
Jun 15, 5:09 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
69.48%
chance
45
3347
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1587
228
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25.32%
chance
10
544
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1063
784
Will MISO Indiana Hub 2027 day-ahead annual average exceed US$55/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PM
May 31, 11:00 PM
43.91%
chance
2
501
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10501
9321
Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PM
May 31, 11:00 PM
36.34%
chance
3
206
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10206
9628
Democrats control Senate in 2030?
Jun 8, 6:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40.36%
chance
8
148
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 3:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
66.74%
chance
3
125
Option
Votes
NO
YES
142
71
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