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Top stories

Rep. Kat Cammack Welcomes Baby 'Peanut' as Byron Donalds Leads Florida GOP Governor Race

Rep. Kat Cammack Welcomes Baby 'Peanut' as Byron Donalds Leads Florida GOP Governor Race

Authors

8

6 months ago

Prediction markets for State Senate

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)

Jan 24, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.42%chance

81904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

256

Will a member of United States senate die in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.47%chance

111793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1511

662

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Jan 24, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.55%chance

11592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

892

Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?

Jan 30, 12:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3281

OptionProbability

R+ >0% to <= 2%

R+ >2% to <= 4%

D+ >=0% to <2%

R+ >4%

D+ >= 4%

D+ >=2% to <4%

34

18

15

12

11

11

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 10th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3158

OptionProbability

Other

Scott Sakakihara

Carmen Montano

Aisha Wahab (Democratic, Incumbent)

51

24

13

12

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

285

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Mike Boudreaux

Other

79

10

10

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

265

OptionProbability

Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)

Other

73

27

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Roger Niello (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

219

OptionProbability

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jaron Brandon

Jeramy Young

Other

41

21

21

17

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

214

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

54

46

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Kelly Seyarto (incumbent)

Other

53

47

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Damon Connolly

James Gore

Natalie Rogers

Other

25

25

25

25

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