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Top stories

Rep. Kat Cammack Welcomes Baby 'Peanut' as Byron Donalds Leads Florida GOP Governor Race

Rep. Kat Cammack Welcomes Baby 'Peanut' as Byron Donalds Leads Florida GOP Governor Race

Authors

8

7 months ago

Prediction markets for State Senate

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)

Jan 24, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.59%chance

102318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2283

1569

Will a member of United States senate die in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.47%chance

111793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1511

662

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Jan 24, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.71%chance

15897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

104

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 10th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4458

OptionProbability

Other

Scott Sakakihara

Carmen Montano

Aisha Wahab (Democratic, Incumbent)

54

26

15

5

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3240

OptionProbability

Brian Goldsmith (Democratic)

John Erickson (Democratic)

Mike Newhouse (Democratic)

Sion Roy (Democratic)

Nico Ruderman

Zennon Ulyate-Crow

Other

Eric Alegria (Democratic)

Ellen Evans (Democratic)

Brittany McKinley (Democratic)

Kristina Irwin (Republican)

33

19

14

7

5

5

5

4

4

3

2

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3135

OptionProbability

Bob Archuleta (incumbent)

Other

85

15

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

270

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

74

26

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

364

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

71

29

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

349

OptionProbability

Jaron Brandon

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jeramy Young

Other

57

22

11

9

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Roger Niello (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Kelly Seyarto (incumbent)

Other

53

47

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 36th State Senate district

Jul 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Tony Strickland (incumbent)

Other

55

45

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