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Prediction markets for State Street
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
1.83%chance
9534412
OptionVotes
7356
561
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.66%chance
249456
OptionVotes
103
97
OptionVotes
2902
345
Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?
Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM
234504
OptionProbability
20
6
5
5
3
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM
61.68%chance
492390
OptionVotes
5270
1565
Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
10.28%chance
231399
OptionVotes
1997
812
OptionVotes
209
48
OptionProbability
65
49
41
28
6
1
Will any country besides Brazil provide subsidized elective plastic surgery before 2033?
Oct 6, 12:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
72.49%chance
9180
OptionVotes
281
99
Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?
Apr 25, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.75%chance
7139
OptionVotes
188
75
Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?
Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.71%chance
370
OptionVotes
170
59
Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?
Oct 20, 12:40 AMOct 7, 7:02 PM
51%chance
453
OptionVotes
102
98


