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Prediction markets for Stock Market

Will the stock market crash in 2025?

Jan 7, 6:38 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.16%chance

4212039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4286

233

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

26.32%chance

889636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1879

432

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Nov 6, 11:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

95.67%chance

255467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4518

180

Manifold Market Ponzi Scheme Stock

Aug 13, 6:14 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

161334

OptionProbability

NO

YES

963

945

Will over-reliance on AI predictions lead to the next major stock market crash?

Oct 14, 5:30 PMOct 22, 6:59 AM

9.71%chance

231140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1595

865

Manifold bans "Permanent Stock" markets before 2030

Dec 15, 8:40 PMDec 31, 5:01 PM

30.57%chance

181015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

704

Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?

Sep 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

18944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

869

Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?

Feb 7, 4:54 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

78.94%chance

7239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

56

Manifold Markets Stock

Mar 9, 12:07 AM

6204

OptionProbability

NO

YES

186

54

AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2050)

Jan 9, 4:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

85%chance

5171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

51

This very market stock

Mar 16, 5:58 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5113

OptionProbability

NO

YES

199

64

Will SSE composite index double till 2035? (Shanghai stock market)

Nov 5, 8:10 PMNov 10, 10:59 PM

80%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

25

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