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Prediction markets for Stock Options

[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?

Oct 16, 9:50 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

337916

OptionProbability

Other

2026 [Oct-Dec]

2027 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Jul-Sep]

2026 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Apr-Jun]

2025 [Oct-Dec]

84

4

4

3

2

2

1

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

80

12

7

2

Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'...

Nov 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

304676

OptionProbability

Dec 31st 2028 or earlier?

June 31st 2028 or earlier?

Dec 31st 2027 or earlier?

June 31st 2027 or earlier?

Dec 31st 2026 or earlier?

Dec 31st 2025 or earlier?

June 31st 2026 or earlier?

33

23

11

8

6

0

0

Will GME reach $30 before the end of 2026?

Jan 8, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.64%chance

64542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

712

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

May 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:16 AM

43100

OptionProbability

2.0T - 2.499T

1.75T - 1.999T

2.5T - 2.999T

1.5T - 1.749T

1.25T - 1.499T

3T - 3.999T

Other

1.0T - 1.249T

0.75T - 0.999T

Below 0.5T

0.5T - 0.749T

27

20

19

14

4

4

4

3

2

1

1

Will GME reach $40 before the end of 2026?

Jan 8, 9:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.52%chance

92958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2643

378

Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM

77.43%chance

51540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3308

1022

Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?

Jul 30, 5:35 PMSep 1, 11:00 PM

53.26%chance

181014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

937

Which of these prices will NVIDIA stock close above before January 1, 2027?

Jul 11, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17530

OptionProbability

$240 (USD)

$260 (USD)

$280 (USD)

$300 (USD)

$320 (USD)

$340 (USD)

$360 (USD)

91

71

56

46

36

24

11

TSLA pays a dividend before Elon Musk leaves as CEO?

Mar 14, 12:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3310

OptionProbability

Elon Musk no longer CEO of TSLA first, before a dividend is paid

TSLA pays a money dividend to common stock first, before Elon Musk leaves as CEO.

63

37

Bitcoin proves robust longterm investment by 2040?

Sep 29, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.66%chance

4143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

46

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