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Prediction markets for Stoke

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.66%chance

11353232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11422

7857

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.84%chance

475023

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1341

431

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2026?

Sep 18, 1:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

4.51%chance

262920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3066

57

What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 7:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82500

OptionProbability

None of the above

First Stage Static Fire

Full Vehicle Stack

Launch

91

4

4

2

When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?

Jul 1, 3:51 PMDec 31, 4:50 PM

171066

OptionProbability

Before 2046

Before 2045

Before 2043

Before 2041

Before 2039

Before 2037

Before 2035

Before 2033

Before 2031

Before 2029

Before 2027

95

93

90

85

83

82

79

64

55

46

34

Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?

Sep 8, 8:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

14.78%chance

23797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

904

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

88.11%chance

14542

OptionVotes

NO

YES

699

154

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

Jul 5, 9:25 AMJul 6, 9:24 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Other

November 2025

August 2025

71

27

2

UK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Hackney North and Stoke Newington?

May 24, 10:48 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6316

OptionProbability

Labour

Green

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Other

Reform UK

71

8

6

6

6

4

By when will Stoke Nova first launch?

Dec 31, 11:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6314

OptionProbability

December 31 2027

June 30 2027

December 31 2026

June 30 2026

December 31 2025

June 30 2025

95

78

57

37

1

0

Will Stoke Space propulsively land and refly a second stage?

Apr 17, 7:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.48%chance

9192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

81

Who will succeed Ben Stokes as test Captain?

Jul 22, 11:34 AMJul 23, 11:33 AM

381

OptionProbability

Harry Brook

Ollie Pope

Other

Jamie Smith

63

13

13

10

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