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Prediction markets for Stoke

Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?

Sep 5, 3:34 AMNov 30, 6:47 AM

3.75%chance

349438939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

53897

4382

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.16%chance

13272522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14337

10516

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.7%chance

11026681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4099

19

Will Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?

Dec 16, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.74%chance

198231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7532

133

[Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028?

Sep 5, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

165728

OptionProbability

OpenAI

GPT

an academic mathematician (i.e. currently employed by an academic institution)

Anthropic

GDM

Axiom Math

Harmonic

A randomer on Twitter

Claude

PingYou

xAI

Grok

Gemini

97

96

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?

Sep 8, 8:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

6.98%chance

312253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2545

765

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

5%chance

231955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

32

Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?

Sep 15, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.14%chance

211953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1738

575

Who will succeed Ben Stokes as test Captain?

Jul 22, 11:34 AMJul 23, 11:33 AM

5456

OptionProbability

Other

Harry Brook

Ollie Pope

Jamie Smith

95

3

1

1

If there is a by-election in Hackney North and Stoke Newington in the 2024 parliament, which party will win?

May 24, 10:45 AMDec 31, 11:44 AM

4369

OptionProbability

Labour

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

Conservatives

Reform UK

40

23

18

9

6

5

UK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Hackney North and Stoke Newington?

May 24, 10:48 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6316

OptionProbability

Labour

Green

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Other

Reform UK

71

8

6

6

6

4

Will Stoke Space propulsively land and refly a second stage?

Apr 17, 7:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.48%chance

9192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

81

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