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Prediction markets for Stork

Will the US prohibit Internet users from using https://chat.qwen.ai/ for at least a day before EOY2029?

Jan 26, 9:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.06%chance

7170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

37

Will Greta Thunberg get a boyfriend or SO by EOY2032?

Jan 26, 10:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.39%chance

11134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

196

51

Will Jared Diamond reach age 93?

Nov 18, 7:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.94%chance

547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will https://pickle.com/memory allow import from Ideaflow by EOY2030

Nov 19, 6:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Josh Tycko end up joining Genetic Control? (Lada Nuzhna)

Nov 19, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will New England have 0 Republicans in Congress (Senate + House) at end of February 2027?

Jan 26, 7:14 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

50.05%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will @flappyairplanes (Flappy Airplanes) be valued at more than $1Billion by EOY2027?

Jan 29, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will we know who https://x.com/scaling01 is by EOY2040?

Jan 26, 8:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will Simeon Campos end up working for https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-mistral-will-rise-as-compute by 2038?

Jan 26, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will https://www.humandirectedfutures.org/ conference run again in 2026?

Nov 17, 4:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Jyotirmai Singh visit incepto.house by EOY2030?

Nov 17, 3:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will JOSE LUIS RICON GET A PET STORK?

Sep 2, 4:30 PM

10

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