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Prediction markets for Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

Will Trump actually establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve in his first year?

Jul 27, 9:53 PMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

14.63%chance

17790032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2415

414

Will the US Federal Government Acquire Bitcoin in 2025?

Jan 2, 9:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.51%chance

195128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Bitcoin $150k By the end of 2025?

May 27, 7:39 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

38%chance

211467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

100

As of January 1, 2026, will the following assets be held in a US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

201361

OptionProbability

Bitcoin (BTC)

Tether (USDT)

Cardano (ADA)

XRP

Ethereum (ETH)

Solana (SOL)

Dogecoin (DOGE)

91

65

59

47

40

34

28

US Strategic Crypto Reserve Allocation (%) on Jan 1, 2026

Mar 3, 6:19 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6984

OptionProbability

Bitcoin (BTC)

Solana (SOL)

Other

Ether (ETH)

Cardano (ADA)

Ripple (XRP)

70

7

7

6

6

5

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

35.72%chance

7767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1341

745

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

6252

OptionProbability

Between $10 billion and $50 billion

Between $1 billion and $10 billion

Between $50 billion and $100 billion

Greater than $100 billion

>$0, less than $1 billion

Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029

51

19

14

8

6

3

Will the identity of the March 2, 2025 crypto long bet whale be revealed?

Mar 3, 12:37 PMMar 2, 11:59 PM

14.18%chance

4227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

46

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