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Prediction markets for Strategic Industries

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

22.28%chance

569159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7326

4245

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

May 12, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1038418

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

Kharkiv uninhabitable (because of nuclear strike for example) on Dec 31, 2030

70

39

2

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?

Mar 12, 11:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.23%chance

264684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2710

623

Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?

Mar 10, 2:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.89%chance

253665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1905

810

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2025?

Apr 8, 8:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

271840

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Russia

93

11

Will persona 6 be announced before 2029

Jul 30, 10:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.05%chance

7276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

239

42

Amazon buys Lyft in 2025?

Apr 28, 5:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.51%chance

6228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

30

Will China provide H-6 bombers to Russia before 2030?

Jun 2, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

DoD raises rare earth price floor this year?

Jul 16, 11:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.58%chance

879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.59%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will the UK declare a special economic zone before 2035?

May 11, 1:55 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

57.5%chance

345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Major EV manufacturer announces 10%+ layoffs in 2025?

Jun 7, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.03%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

110

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