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Prediction markets for Strategic Petroleum Reserve

US Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026

May 6, 12:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124168

OptionProbability

Below 300 million

Below 350 million

Below 250 million

Below 200 million

Below 150 million

100

100

35

18

8

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 600M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 4:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.76%chance

111105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

747

13

What will be the level of the strategic petroleum reserve at the end of 2027?

Jul 4, 12:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5816

OptionProbability

Above 250

Above 350

Above 450

Above 550

Above 650

Above 750

Above 850

88

46

18

7

4

3

2

When will the US strategic petroleum reserve start increasing again

Jun 14, 12:55 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

6382

OptionProbability

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before October 2026

Before August 2026

Before September 2026

50

48

41

0

0

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 500M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2028?

Mar 10, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

7238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will US strategic petroleum reserve be over 80% of the July 2020 level by December 2029?

Jan 7, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.51%chance

8208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

99

US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st

Jul 17, 9:29 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

65.23%chance

12207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 500M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2027?

Jun 13, 9:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

8205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 600M barrels of oil or more at the end of Trump's term?

Nov 15, 4:20 AMJan 20, 4:59 AM

19.69%chance

6116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

50

US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before November 1st

Sep 10, 6:30 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

46.09%chance

6113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

US Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026 (hi-res)

Aug 19, 9:04 AMDec 31, 9:11 AM

677

OptionProbability

Above 150 million

Above 175 million

Above 275 million

Above 200 million

Above 250 million

Above 225 million

72

56

54

52

51

48

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 500M barrels of oil or more at the end of Trump's term?

Nov 15, 4:20 AMJan 20, 4:59 AM

28.46%chance

574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

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