Street News
Prediction markets for Street
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?
Mar 9, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.57%chance
8910852
OptionVotes
444
302
OptionVotes
5215
383
Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?
Jul 5, 11:39 AMJul 6, 11:33 AM
38.08%chance
262125
OptionVotes
1275
784
OptionVotes
1050
952
OptionVotes
2375
421
Will Nestle Fix their Quality Street "Chocolates" and Import them back into Australia from UK again by Christmas 2026?
Jan 16, 8:12 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM
11.59%chance
51188
OptionVotes
3013
2735
OptionVotes
2346
1832
Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.42%chance
15577
OptionVotes
1455
887
In my opinion, will Keir Starmer have shown active support for Wes Streeting in next Labour Party leadership contest?
May 15, 12:02 AMMay 14, 11:56 PM
5%chance
7438
OptionVotes
459
36
Will Waymo still have serious problems with flooded streets in 2027?
May 22, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.99%chance
5297
OptionVotes
1174
961
Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?
Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
47.81%chance
16269
OptionVotes
1023
968
Will there be a high-street retail outlet successfully running with only robotic and AI systems, for at least a week without intervention from a physically-present person, before 2027?
Jan 26, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
7161
OptionVotes
205
91