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Prediction markets for Strike

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

19.42%chance

9512284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2037

491

Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?

Mar 2, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.08%chance

543624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1321

363

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

322810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

59.92%chance

262516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1223

818

Will a foreign missile strike a civilian target in California before 2036?

Mar 29, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.59%chance

82425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2164

462

Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?

Jul 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.57%chance

312302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

738

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

7.49%chance

192278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1094

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

82.25%chance

201561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1984

623

Will a Historic Labor Strike occur in the United States before 2030?

May 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

8844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

608

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

17.23%chance

19411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

101

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