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Prediction markets for Strike

US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?

Jun 18, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.46%chance

130163949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5285

189

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will Israeli strikes kill any Irish peacekeepers in Lebanon by the end of 2025?

Oct 4, 10:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.09%chance

347897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3926

255

USA strikes Venezuela in first 2 weeks of December 2025?

Dec 1, 9:51 AMDec 16, 12:00 AM

6.2%chance

315067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3888

257

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

312800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?

Jul 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.57%chance

312302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

738

Iran’s 60%+ enriched uranium stockpile and its capability to produce more both eliminated by June 2025 strikes?

Jun 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

8%chance

91938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2500

62

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

Jul 7, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.76%chance

131519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

829

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.24%chance

181404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

927

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

78.51%chance

171006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1723

686

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMMay 19, 11:59 AM

14.27%chance

14227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

941

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