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Prediction markets for Strike

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

11.68%chance

10215083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2750

364

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.96%chance

3914944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18148

6181

Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?

Mar 2, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.48%chance

756082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

850

Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?

Jul 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19%chance

362842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1969

568

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

322810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

90.22%chance

222597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2984

471

Will a foreign missile strike a civilian target in California before 2036?

Mar 29, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.59%chance

92525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2164

462

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

59.92%chance

262516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1223

818

Will SCOTUS strike down Alaska’s “$95,000 plane for 6 beers” forfeiture?

Aug 7, 3:48 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

83.85%chance

111811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2278

439

Will a Historic Labor Strike occur in the United States before 2030?

May 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.13%chance

10876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1639

610

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

17.23%chance

19411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

101

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