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Prediction markets for Strike Force

US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?

Jun 18, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

10037395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

49.18%chance

579586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

984

US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029

Feb 19, 5:59 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

8.21%chance

288893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3344

299

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.15%chance

298492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6746

148

Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?

Jan 2, 1:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.64%chance

224483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1703

587

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

312800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

Will California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?

Jul 26, 7:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.94%chance

121124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1606

623

By when will the Israel-Iran ceasefire be broken? [Polymarket]

Jun 26, 1:41 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

201009

OptionProbability

Wednesday, December 31

Friday, October 31

Sunday, August 31

Friday, June 27

Friday, July 11

Thursday, July 31

43

24

12

0

0

0

Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Jun 22, 2:04 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

51.8%chance

11494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11386

OptionProbability

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

No

84

74

55

20

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

11313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will the New Zealand Air Force reacquire a strike capability before 2029?

Jun 26, 3:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.16%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

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