Strike USA News

Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns

Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit

Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)

A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes

DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement

≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)

United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela

Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS

Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party

Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)

Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council

Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia

An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba

China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace

Algeria becomes a member of BRICS

Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine

India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore

At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed

Donald Trump remains President of USA

A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country

Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces

Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room

123

At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran

Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS

Izz al-Din al-Haddad remains leader of Hamas

North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test

Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel

Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe

Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat

A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)

Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations

160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.

Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa

Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov

Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire

A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed

Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government

A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days

Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS

World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated

Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela

The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024

USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths

An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period

Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS

Successful military coup in Venezuela

Mexico becomes a member of BRICS

1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI

At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series

A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump

Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon

Any country leaves NATO

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States

A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated

Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack

Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235

China invades Taiwan

Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil

Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test

Sudanese Civil War ends

Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"

China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash

A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved

An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period

Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS

North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths

Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)

A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz

Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom

The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote

United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force

India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada

Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership

Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy

Azerbaijani troops enter Iran

Israel annexes 100% of Gaza

Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

USA leaves NATO

The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States

Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic

Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia

Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Argentina becomes a member of BRICS

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population

Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII

Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus

Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory

Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State

Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member

Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede

Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)

Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory

Any US territory comes under Canadian administration

Humans will extinct

Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state

Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged

YES

Anthropic or Meta release a new model

Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%

Sam Altman still CEO through end of month

large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement

noam chomsky alive until end of month

trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times

nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain

NASDAQ hits an all time high

dick cheney still alive at end of month

at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it

american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran

earthquake 7.0+ magnitude

nVidia becomes the largest company in the history of the world (by market capitalization) at least once

usa bombs or missle strikes syria

twitter/x banned in another country (announced, even if it can be circumvented)

$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month

Israeli startup acquired at a price higher than $1b

major tech company merger/acquisition announced

An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced

Volcano dormant for half a year erupts

earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher

Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

trump leaves usa at least once

usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon

spacex launches 15 or more rockets

usa troops enter syria

china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 1 death

American airstrike or drone strike or missile strike on Mexico

usa troops enter lebanon

New nominal US$ market capitalization record for the largest company in the history of the world

ukraine russia ceasefire

starship launch

a supreme court justice is replaced, or announces retirement

Bitcoin hits 100K

New Half-Life game announced

bitcoin reaches 150k or more at least one day

another indictment or charges announced against trump

NO

YES

NO

Sam Altman still CEO through end of month

noam chomsky alive until end of month

Anthropic or Meta release a new model

at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it

nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain

starship launch

$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month

large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement

Member of U.S Congress resigns, dies, or is removed from office

spacex launches 15 or more rockets

earthquake 7.0+ magnitude

major tech company merger/acquisition announced

An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced

trump leaves usa at least once

american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran

Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher

usa troops enter syria

usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon

usa bombs or missle strikes syria

Volcano dormant for half a year erupts

American airstrike or drone strike or missile strike on Mexico

New Half-Life game announced

ukraine russia ceasefire

winds of winter (next GoT book) release date announced

usa troops enter lebanon

a supreme court justice is replaced, or announces retirement

bitcoin reaches 150k or more at least one day

trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times

china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 1 death

YES