Substack News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Substack
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
Mar 13, 4:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
94.9%chance
1626673
OptionVotes
4312
232
Flip Incoming (incoming.substack.com) has the most subscribers among prediction market Substacks by September 30, 2025?
May 23, 6:24 PMSep 30, 6:22 PM
16.49%chance
81867
OptionVotes
2250
444
Will Stacey Patton write a Substack addressing allegations that she writes her articles with AI by end of September?
Jul 12, 7:03 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.73%chance
81459
OptionVotes
1745
573
Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?
Nov 20, 4:11 PMDec 31, 3:00 PM
30.89%chance
171178
OptionVotes
1535
611
OptionVotes
1674
597
OptionVotes
1835
557
OptionVotes
1363
734
OptionVotes
1211
737
In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?
Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
86.56%chance
12389
OptionVotes
1202
938
By 2026 will Substack generally be viewed in a similar way to medium.com
Jan 13, 9:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.83%chance
7322
OptionVotes
1282
780
Will Aella reference Impro in her latest Substack article series on status?
Jul 3, 4:41 AMDec 31, 5:40 AM
52.18%chance
483
OptionVotes
1045
957
OptionProbability
51
49