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Substantive Research News
Prediction markets for Substantive Research
Prediction markets for Substantive Research
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%
chance
18
1414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
941
Will research towards time travel be a cause area of Effective Altruism before 2030?
May 8, 1:31 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
5.67%
chance
13
544
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1286
947
Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?
Jan 18, 2:56 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.89%
chance
5
160
Option
Votes
YES
NO
260
38
US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026
Jan 3, 5:25 PM
Mar 31, 11:59 PM
46.54%
chance
2
82
Option
Votes
NO
YES
300
300
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