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Summit News

Will a human summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?

Dec 2, 6:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.51%chance

171420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

36

Will I summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?

Dec 2, 6:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1%chance

91199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Trump Xi Summit Prop Bets

May 5, 11:17 PMMay 31, 11:16 PM

19741

OptionProbability

Trump and Xi shake hands

A new deal is struck on tariffs

Trump will wear a red tie at least once

Rubio is present on the trip

Trump says or implies the US cannot let China win the AI race

Trump mentions Iran

Trump mentions Taiwan

Melania Trump is present on the trip

Trump mentions COVID

Trump makes major gaffe

Trump mentions OpenAI

Trump mentions Anthropic

Trump says or implies the US cannot let China win the space race

Trump accuses China of cyber warfare

Xi speaks English in front of cameras

No summit takes place before EOY

94

73

68

62

57

56

54

53

44

43

41

34

31

28

22

14

Will Trump host or attend a summit with both Zelenskyy and Putin by June 30, 2026?

Apr 2, 4:57 PMJun 30, 12:00 AM

10%chance

16587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

49

Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

16309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.02%chance

3220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

4140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

If Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?

Apr 24, 3:55 AMNov 18, 11:59 PM

6132

OptionProbability

Putin does not attend

Putin and all listed leaders attend

Putin attends, at least one listed leader does not

81

9

9

Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami?

Apr 26, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.11%chance

7115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?

Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

Will Taiwan attend the 2026 APEC Summit in China?

Nov 4, 11:41 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

33%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

71

Will there be a 2nd Reproductive Frontiers Summit in 2026?

Jun 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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