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Prediction markets for Suno

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39145745

OptionProbability

Hugging Face

Suno (music)

Pinecone (database)

Runway AI

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Perplexity

DataBricks

ElevenLabs (audio)

Devin (Cognition)

Magic (coding)

Figure AI

Groq

Midjourney

Stability AI

Grammarly

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

Cohere

Mistral AI

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?

Mar 27, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.77%chance

14014241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3300

304

By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?

May 16, 4:43 AMJan 8, 7:59 AM

11.11%chance

397364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2602

186

Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?

Aug 3, 6:33 PMJan 2, 8:56 PM

79.15%chance

547020

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

51

Taylor Swift releases a song crediting an AI system before 2026 (Ex: Taylor Swift ft. Suno)?

Apr 4, 9:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

3%chance

336563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3003

830

How many listens will my songs have at the end of 2026?

Dec 5, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83096

OptionProbability

Above 10,000

Above 25,000

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 250,000

Above 500,000

Above 1,000,000

96

40

24

12

6

4

3

Which of these mainstream artists (or bands) will credit an AI in a song release? (Kanye ft. Suno, or Drake ft. ChatGPT)

Apr 4, 1:27 PMApr 4, 1:30 PM

372833

OptionProbability

Grimes

Deadmau5

Kanye West

Apex Twin

Imagine Dragons

Will Smith

Justin Bieber

The Weeknd

Coldplay

Madonna

Drake

Ed Sheeran

Selena Gomez

Snoop Dog

Rihanna

Lana Del Ray

Ariana Grande

Beyoncé

U2

Green Day

Adele

Kendrick Lamar

Taylor Swift

Eminem

Olivia Rodrigo

85

51

43

30

25

23

19

19

19

19

19

18

17

17

17

16

13

13

13

11

11

11

10

7

6

Song with AI singing in Eurovision Song Contest before 2030?

Jan 19, 3:13 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.06%chance

302236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

966

What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?

Jun 26, 12:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

111990

OptionProbability

A lawsuit reaches a settlement

Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court

Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno

A lawsuit reaches judgment

A lawsuit reaches trial

A lawsuit is dismissed

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff

A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant

Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently

A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial

Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily

97

73

69

52

42

37

34

31

26

21

20

9

Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?

Oct 31, 11:55 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

27.09%chance

91491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

610

Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?

May 3, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.59%chance

15503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

349

29

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.35%chance

10362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

954

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