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Prediction markets for Superior Court

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.15%chance

131678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1788

560

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?

Feb 23, 2:52 AMOct 25, 11:59 PM

61663

OptionProbability

Lula Da Silva

Flavio Bolsonaro

Renan Santos

Ratinho Junior

Tarcisio de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

Jair Bolsonaro

Other

60

22

4

4

4

3

2

2

By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?

Jul 25, 3:39 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

20.3%chance

91000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1982

505

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

59.33%chance

5287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

481

101

Will Bryan Johnson outlive Baba Ramdev

Feb 19, 6:13 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

82.75%chance

6245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

46

Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?

Dec 2, 12:15 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

11.95%chance

4176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

1161

OptionProbability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Tarcício de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

83

66

8

8

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

4126

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

9-12 deputies

13+ deputies

72

15

8

6

Italy judicial reform: Will the new prosecutors' CSM hold its first session by EOY 2029?

Mar 12, 8:05 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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