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Prediction markets for Superior Court

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.89%chance

121323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1728

579

By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?

Jul 25, 3:39 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

20.3%chance

91000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1982

505

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

59.33%chance

5287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

481

101

Will Bryan Johnson outlive Baba Ramdev

Feb 19, 6:13 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

82.75%chance

6245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

46

Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?

Dec 2, 12:15 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

12.76%chance

4166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

261

38

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Fernando Haddad

Tarcício de Freitas

83

50

10

8

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

4126

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

9-12 deputies

13+ deputies

72

15

8

6

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