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Top stories

Bogotá Tribunal Orders Immediate Release of Former President Álvaro Uribe from House Arrest Amid 12-Year Fraud and Bribery Appeal

Bogotá Tribunal Orders Immediate Release of Former President Álvaro Uribe from House Arrest Amid 12-Year Fraud and Bribery Appeal

Authors

20

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Superior Tribunal of Bogotá

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?

Feb 23, 2:52 AMOct 25, 11:59 PM

2526845

OptionProbability

Lula Da Silva

Flavio Bolsonaro

Renan Santos

Other

Fernando Haddad

Ratinho Junior

Tarcisio de Freitas

Jair Bolsonaro

50

26

12

4

3

2

2

2

Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?

Oct 28, 6:58 PMOct 4, 6:56 PM

9%chance

8632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will the ICC or similar tribunal find Russians guilty of war crimes re the Nova Kakhovka dam failure?

Jun 6, 1:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.25%chance

17626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

949

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?

May 12, 5:42 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

3273

OptionProbability

Cleitinho Azevedo

Alexandre Kalil

Gabriel Azevedo

Rodrigo Pacheco

56

15

5

3

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?

Apr 15, 12:14 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

4172

OptionProbability

Eduardo Paes

Douglas Ruas

André Ceciliano

Italo Marsili

78

14

14

10

Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo?

Apr 24, 11:06 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

37%chance

4163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Brazil 2026 Election: which pollsters stay within the margin for the top-2 in the 1st-round presidential election?

Feb 2, 7:33 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

369

OptionProbability

Datafolha

Ipec

Quaest

Atlas Intel

Ipespe

Paraná Pesquisas

PoderData

35

35

35

35

35

35

28

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