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Prediction markets for Supreme

Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?

Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.26%chance

331242101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2030

403

Wicked Supreme stock (permanent)

Nov 12, 12:45 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

32473948

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2061

1815

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

12.63%chance

2017738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26303

3802

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5710723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

309

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

Apr 12, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

336718

OptionProbability

After 2070 (or never)

2036-2040

2029-2035

2061-2065

2041-2045

2046-2050

2066-2070

By 2028

2051-2055

2056-2060

40

18

14

10

5

3

3

2

2

2

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

57%chance

385116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?

Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM

36.49%chance

424923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75.9%chance

394722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3864

2046

Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto v. Durnell before 2026?

May 19, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.08%chance

124156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5323

2519

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.14%chance

432980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2911

1733

Will the United States Supreme Court receive a challenge to gender identity as a protected class before 2026?

Apr 30, 12:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

141516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

250

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

6820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10578

9454

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