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Prediction markets for Supreme Court of Appeal

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

3119307

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9960

101

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.96%chance

3914944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18148

6181

Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?

Jul 2, 6:08 AMNov 30, 10:59 PM

8.74%chance

479656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3232

309

Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?

Apr 21, 7:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.82%chance

279521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3005

572

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.77%chance

284235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2351

814

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

8%chance

232206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2818

588

Will a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?

Oct 22, 8:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.46%chance

131236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Under US law, does dynamic linking against a library create a derivative work?

May 31, 12:54 AMJan 2, 1:47 AM

30.53%chance

7603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

663

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be found guilty in any of the existing bribery/fraud cases?

Oct 24, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.5%chance

6523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

5410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

826

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

955

If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?

Oct 7, 2:54 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM

66.69%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

974

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