Surge AI News

How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?

Mar 25, 10:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4329637

OptionProbability

Over $4.00

Over $4.10

Over $4.20

Over $4.30

Over $4.40

Over $4.50

Over $4.25

Over $4.35

Over $4.45

Over $4.55

Over $4.60

Over $4.65

Over $4.70

Over $4.75

Over $4.80

Over $4.85

Over $4.90

100

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.76%chance

273028

OptionVotes

YES

1716

730

OpenAI (props)

Mar 10, 8:38 PMMar 10, 8:38 PM

72827

OptionProbability

Releases GPT-5.5 or later by July 1, 2026

Annualized revenue tops $30B by December 31, 2026

Files IPO S-1 by December 31, 2026

Signs NATO AI contract by September 30, 2026

100

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.91%chance

12799

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18759

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

12734

OptionVotes

YES

121

111

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.47%chance

12537

OptionVotes

YES

309

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

105

103

Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?

Oct 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85%chance

7218

OptionVotes

YES

240

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

6.33%chance

5211

OptionVotes

YES

1013

788

Will the 2027 World Series of Poker Main Event have a record number of entries?

May 28, 7:10 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

47.88%chance

552

OptionVotes

YES

104

If the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?

May 26, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

347

OptionProbability

Legislation is implemented to mitigate job losses due to AI

There is enough demand for jobs that require "human touch" (like therapists or sex workers) that the bulk of the population is able to find work despite losing their old occupations

AI capabilities aren't good enough to automate a significant fraction of currently-existing jobs

Computer Chip Supply chains are so constrained the marginal cost of making more chips exceeds the marginal cost of labor

Intelligence is cheap, but robotics is expensive enough for it to be infeasible for AI to manual labor jobs

People leave the workforce entirely due to receiving some sort of UBI after AI automates nearly every job, resulting in no surging unemployment

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Prediction markets for Surge AI

Prediction markets for Surge AI

Prediction markets for Surge AI

How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

OpenAI (props)

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Will the 2027 World Series of Poker Main Event have a record number of entries?

If the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?

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