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Prediction markets for Surge AI

Will Gold be between $5000 - $6000 by the end of March?

Feb 27, 6:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

38.62%chance

335188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

793

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

Feb 15, 8:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61085

OptionProbability

Above $500

$300 - $349

$350 - $399

$400 - $449

$450 - $500

$250 - $299

$150 - $199

$200 - $249

Below $100

$100 - $149

54

7

7

7

6

5

4

4

3

3

Google, Amazon, Meta & Microsoft Total Capex for 2027

Feb 7, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61021

OptionProbability

800 Billion +

600-800 Billion

400-599 Billion

>400 Billion

48

37

8

7

OpenAI (props)

Mar 10, 8:38 PMMar 10, 8:38 PM

3785

OptionProbability

Annualized revenue tops $30B by December 31, 2026

Releases GPT-5.5 or later by July 1, 2026

Files IPO S-1 by December 31, 2026

Signs NATO AI contract by September 30, 2026

89

77

59

36

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

12734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

111

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.32%chance

7642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

12534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

32

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?

Mar 18, 3:47 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

23%chance

10430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

Will Bitcoin be above $75,000 on April 18, 2026?

Mar 18, 3:37 PMApr 18, 12:00 AM

31.86%chance

9358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

68

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?

Oct 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85%chance

7218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

240

90

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

7.24%chance

4111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

688

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