Surge AI News

Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?

Aug 5, 12:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.97%chance

4117263

OptionVotes

YES

4374

229

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

Feb 15, 8:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

96375

OptionProbability

Above $500

Below $100

$100 - $149

$150 - $199

$200 - $249

$250 - $299

$300 - $349

$350 - $399

$400 - $449

$450 - $500

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.89%chance

324286

OptionVotes

YES

1764

715

Highest oil price in Sep-EOY 2026

Sep 3, 3:03 AMSep 3, 3:59 AM

12913

OptionProbability

Above 100

Above 110

Above 120

Above 130

Above 140

100

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

12734

OptionVotes

YES

121

111

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

14608

OptionVotes

YES

362

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

207

Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?

Oct 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85%chance

7218

OptionVotes

YES

240

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

6.33%chance

5211

OptionVotes

YES

1013

788

If the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?

May 26, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

475

OptionProbability

Legislation is implemented to mitigate job losses due to AI

There is enough demand for jobs that require "human touch" (like therapists or sex workers) that the bulk of the population is able to find work despite losing their old occupations

People leave the workforce entirely due to receiving some sort of UBI after AI automates nearly every job, resulting in no surging unemployment

AI capabilities aren't good enough to automate a significant fraction of currently-existing jobs

Computer Chip Supply chains are so constrained the marginal cost of making more chips exceeds the marginal cost of labor

Intelligence is cheap, but robotics is expensive enough for it to be infeasible for AI to manual labor jobs

Will the 2027 World Series of Poker Main Event have a record number of entries?

May 28, 7:10 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

43.34%chance

662

OptionVotes

YES

114

Will Saturn have 300 known moons that have been announced to the public by EOY 2026

Nov 5, 7:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.67%chance

339

OptionVotes

YES

116

Surge AI News

Prediction markets for Surge AI

Prediction markets for Surge AI

Prediction markets for Surge AI

Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Highest oil price in Sep-EOY 2026

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

If the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?

Will the 2027 World Series of Poker Main Event have a record number of entries?

Will Saturn have 300 known moons that have been announced to the public by EOY 2026

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