OptionProbability
Collingwood
Adelaide Crows
Geelong Cats
Brisbane Lions
Western Bulldogs
Hawthorn
Gold Coast Suns
Sydney Swans
Port Adelaide
GWS Giants
Carlton
Fremantle
Other
Melbourne
29
17
14
10
9
6
4
2
1
Western aid shortage / economic collapse in Ukraine
Black swan geopolitical events 🦢
Trump wins US elections and forces Ukraine to cede territories
Decisive Russian military victory
Ukraine runs out of soldiers - further mobilization not feasible
Collapse of Ukraine's government
68
53
52
46
Binance
--no rugs before 2030--
Swan
30
18
44
37
8
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