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Prediction markets for Syria

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2025?

Dec 8, 12:16 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.71%chance

8837282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5991

167

Who will be the next president of Syria? 🇸🇾

Dec 8, 6:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2012448

OptionProbability

Abu Mohammad al-Julani

Other

Mouaffaq Nyrabia

Anas al-Abdah

Moaz al-Khatib

Randa Kassis

94

4

1

1

0

0

Trump Tower construction starts in Syria in 2025?

May 14, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

159004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

20.35%chance

515004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1979

505

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

302015

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

29

22

17

17

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.27%chance

6703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

787

Will the USA reopen an embassy in Syria before the end of 2025?

Dec 12, 5:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.31%chance

20614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?

Dec 11, 3:30 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

78.14%chance

5150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

189

53

What will FCDO travel advice to Syria be at the start of 2029?

Dec 12, 1:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

447

OptionProbability

Advise against all travel

Advise against all travel to parts

Advise against all but essential travel

Advise against all but essential travel to parts

No travel advisory

Other

19

17

17

17

17

11

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Electoral Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Closed Autocracy

40

20

20

20

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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